[russellw]

Let's put this another way.

If you are an adult living in the USA you have a 10.9 in 10,000 chance of dying from COVID19. On the face of it, they aren't bad odds and they are better than Belgium (11.4/10,000) and Peru (13.4/10,000) but worse than Italy (10/10,000), the UK (8.6/10,000) and even India 1.1/10,000). However, in Australia those odds are far better again at 0.5/10,000 which makes the USA 20x worse than Australia.

Indeed, before the Victorian second wave mess, we were about line-ball with New Zealand where your chance of dying is 0.07/10,000 which is 7x better than where we are now but also 160x better than the USA.

Victoria hasn't fared as well as the rest of the country with the odds of dying here (counting adults only) 1.66/10,000 which is 3.3x the National average and both the infection rate per 100k (413) and the CMR (4.02%) are worse than the National average of 152 and 3.3% respectively - bearing in mind that the National average is being dragged down by the Victorian numbers anyway.

Even then, your chance of dying from COVID19 in the USA is 6.6x greater than Victoria.

That got me thinking about the rest of Australia and the numbers are surprising.
Victoria has had 74% of all Australian cases and 90.3% of all Australian deaths which shows just how much impact this 2nd wave has really had.

Looking at the remainder of the country in isolation (pun not intended) the figures are much happier:

7,148 cases or 54.4 cases per 100k adults (NZ is 52.44);
88 deaths or 0.673 deaths per 100k adults (NZ is 0.682); and
a CMR of 1.231% - even better than the 1.3% for New Zealand.

Let's pause a moment to compare those case numbers with a few other countries:

The USA has 4,184 cases per 100k which is 27x more than the Australian average, 10x more than Victoria and 76x more than the rest of Australia!

The UK has 1,598 cases per 100k which is 10.4x more than the Australian average, 3.8x more than Victoria and 29x more than the rest of Australia.

While we could argue that identified case numbers depend on the volume of testing, the number of deaths is a (largely) inescapable fact so if we look at deaths per 100k of total population we see that:
Australia has 3.55 per 100k;
Italy 61.29 (17.3x);
Argentina 62.70 (17.6x);
UK 65.65 (18.5x);
Mexico 68.17 (19.2x);
USA 69.26 (19.5x);
Ecuador 71.0 (20x);
Chile 72.42 (20.4x);
Brazil 73.64 (20.7x);
Spain 74.32 (20.9x)
Bolivia 75.53 (21.3x);
Belgium 91.35 (25.7x); and
Peru 103.21 (29x).

There are some (non-African) countries doing better than our 3.55:
British Virgin island (N America) 3.308;
Iceland (Europe) 3.224;
Antigua (N America) 3.08;
Pakistan (Asia) 3.04;
Nepal (Asia) 2.845;
Venezuela (S America) 2.669;
Latvia (Europe) 2.651;
Slovakia (Europe) 2.454;
Barbados (N America) 2.436;
Nicaragua (N America) 2.340;
Cyprus (Europe) 2.071;
Haiti (N America) 2.016;
Yemen (Asia) 2.008;
Myanmar (Asia) 1.908;
Uzbekistan (Asia) 1.629;
Uruguay (S America) 1.526;
Syria (Asia) 1.509;
Hong Kong (Asia) 1.401;
Japan (Asia) 1.339;
Cuba (N America) 1.130;
S Korea (Asia) 0.887;
Brunei (Asia) 0.864;
Tajikistan (Asia) 0.849;
Malaysia (Asia) 0.661;
Curaçao (S America) 0.609;
New Zealand (Oceania) 0.518; and
Singapore (Asia) 0.479.

.... although not many better than the 'rest of Australia excluding Victoria' 0.461)

Fiji (Oceania) 0.223;
Thailand (Asia) 0.085;
PNG (Oceania) 0.082;
Sri Lanka (Asia) 0.065;
Vietnam (Asia) 0.036; and
Taiwan (Asia) 0.029.