[russellw]

Global 30/1/22 (figures up to 29/1/22)

During the last 15 days, global CMR's have mostly been dropping with the global whole of pandemic average now at 1.522% compared to 1.713% in the previous period and 2.281% a year ago today.

Case number continue to skyrocket with 48.56M in the last 15 days compared to 35M in the previous period with 136,340 deaths in the last 15 days for a CMR of 0.281% on an unadjusted basis. That's 31.6% more than the 103,594 deaths in the previous period despite the 38.6% increase in cases although the adjusted CMR based on the previous period case numbers is not so healthy at 0.390% but that's far from an exact science.

Note that 'adjusted' CMR uses the case numbers from between 16 and 30 days ago and the mortalities from the last 15 days

Overall the increase in cases numbers was 13.0% but the variance in the number of deaths only 2.4% so that's a positive sign.

Countries (with <100k cases) that were well above that growth rate are headed by Réunion (+43.4%); Australia (+39.1%); Denmark (+34.9%); Norway (+33.9%); Guadeloupe (+29.8%); France (+27.9%); Japan (+27.7%); Uruguay (+25.0%); Sweden (+24.6%); Slovenia (+24.5%); Maldives (+23.9%); Belgium (+22.1%); Finland and Latvia (+21.9%); Switzerland (+21.8%); Austria (+21.6%) and Panama (+21.2%). The USA +12.6%) and UK (+8.2%) fared a bit better.

Very few countries saw their mortalities increase by much with only South Korea (+11.1%), Finland (+11.2%), Laos (+11.5%), Réunion (+13.0%) and Australia (+29.0%) having double digit growth amongst countries with >100k cases.

Belarus, British Virgin Islands, Burkina Faso, Cabo Verde, DRC, Eritrea, Eswatini, Ethiopia, Fiji, Ghana, Greenland, Guinea, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Laos, Madagascar, Malawi, Namibia, Nicaragua, Nigeria, South Africa, St. Vincent Grenadine, Uganda and Zimbabwe all recorded worse overall CMR's than the previous period - there's a fairly obvious pattern there.