Thread: Covid 19 -
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Old 26-01-2022, 10:51 AM   #18145
russellw
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

Australia
NSW records 21,030 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9630 (from 0.9205) while the actual line is now above the predictive trend line.



VIC records 14,836 cases in the current period and the 10-day average growth rate increases to 0.9574 (from 0.9038) while the actual line remains above the predictive trend.



Here is the predictive trend graph for three States based on cases since Omicron was identified which, for our purposes, will be taken as December 1st.



One of the things that should be of concern is the rapid increasing mortality numbers. Yes, the percentages are low with a National CMR of 0.052% (raw) and 0.101% (adjusted) but we're about to pass 1,000 deaths for the YTD, yet we only had 1,323 for all of 2021.
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Last edited by russellw; 26-01-2022 at 10:59 AM.
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